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2024-12-13 05:51:16

Huaxi Securities: In 2025, the rate of RRR cut and interest rate cut may not be lower than 50bp and 20bp. Huaxi Securities Research Report pointed out that this Politburo meeting revisited "moderately loose monetary policy", and the market inevitably associated with the magnificent combination of monetary and fiscal policies in 2008-2010. Specific to this round of monetary policy, it may be similar to it, not only the tone has changed, but also the framework has changed from the previous cross-cycle (or both cross-cycle and counter-cycle) to counter-cycle adjustment, which is likely to point to an increase in the adjustment range of reserve ratio and policy interest rate. Looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be lower than 50bp and 20bp (the rate in 2024), and the possibility of further increasing the rate in the face of extreme circumstances is not ruled out. The specific degree and duration of easing may depend on the economic situation.Beijing Securities Regulatory Bureau issued a warning letter to Longhui Investment: after SuperMap Software's shareholding reached 5%, it continued to buy and failed to stop trading according to regulations and fulfill the obligation of letter covering. Beijing Securities Regulatory Bureau issued a decision on taking administrative supervision measures to issue a warning letter to Beijing Longhui Investment Co., Ltd. According to the Prompt Announcement on Disclosure of Simplified Equity Change Report disclosed by SuperMap Software on December 10, 2024 and the Simplified Equity Change Report disclosed by the company, in November 2021, On November 28th, 2024, the company held 5.26% of SuperMap Software's shares in total, and became a shareholder holding more than 5% of SuperMap Software's shares. The company continued to buy shares of listed companies after the shareholding ratio reached 5%, and failed to stop trading and fulfill its information disclosure obligations as required. The above-mentioned behavior of the company violated relevant regulations. The Beijing Securities Regulatory Bureau decided to take the administrative supervision measures of issuing a warning letter to the company and record it in the integrity file of the securities and futures market. The company shall abide by the laws and regulations of the capital market, earnestly fulfill the obligation of information disclosure, prevent such behaviors from happening again, and submit a written report within 15 working days from the date of receiving this decision.Why does the watch suck on the glass? Apple's customer service responded that on the 10th, "Why does Apple Watch suck on the glass" was hotly debated on social platforms. In this regard, Apple's official customer service said on the 10 th that the dial of Apple Watch does not have any adsorption force. If it can be attached to smooth glass, it is necessary to consider whether it is the reason for the film of the watch. "If you can't take it off, you can try to tear off some of the film and see if you can move the dial away." Another customer service also said that the Apple Watch uses a retina display, and the dial will not be adsorbed with any material including glass. If there is such a situation, consider whether to stick a protective film. (Zhongxin Jingwei)


KBW: Raise the target price of MasterCard from $580 to $618, and maintain the rating of "outperforming the market".Recruitment platform Indeded: Job vacancies in the UK are falling faster than those in other developed countries. The recruitment platform Indeded said on Tuesday that job vacancies in the UK have fallen faster than those in other developed countries in the past year, which is another sign that the British economy lost momentum in the second half of this year. Indeed data shows that as of November 29, the number of British job advertisements posted on its platform decreased by 23% compared with the same period of last year, which was even greater than the 14% decline from August to October according to official data. France is only a little better than Britain, and the number of job vacancies has dropped by 22% compared with the same period of last year, while other comparable countries, including the United States, Germany, Ireland, Canada and Australia, have dropped by 5% to 15%.President united steelworkers union: The acquisition of Nippon Steel in Japan may mean the long-term decline of American steel companies. The head of the largest trade union in North America said that there is no guarantee from Nippon Steel to ensure that American steel companies will not decline after the acquisition. A few days ago, Nippon Steel of Japan proposed a $15 billion acquisition of American steel companies, which was opposed by Biden and Trump. The acquisition will be subject to the national security review of the Committee on Foreign Investment (CFIUS) later this month. United steelworkers union Chairman David McCall was interviewed on Monday. On that day, Nippon Steel announced the details of various commitments it had made to gain union support, including job security and investment in facilities. Mccall said that one of his biggest concerns is that Nippon Steel may export steel products to the United States through its international steel mills, which he feared would weaken the position of American steel companies. Mccall said: "When we discuss with Nippon Steel, nothing can guarantee that their commitment is feasible in the long run." Nippon Steel previously denied that it would import steel from its international steel mills after reaching an agreement, and repeatedly said that its goal is to become a "member" of the United States, and the American market is crucial to its future growth.


Swiss Re: It is estimated that the global real GDP growth rate will reach 2.7% in 2026. Swiss Re released the latest sigma report, and the world economy is expected to maintain steady growth in the next two years, but the downside risks will rise. It is estimated that the global real GDP growth rate will reach 2.8% and 2.7% in 2025 and 2026, which is basically the same as that in 2024.A shares may have more upside! Core assets can be laid out with one click through the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925). On December 10th, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) closed up 0.83%, with a turnover of 115 million yuan. Component stocks rose strongly, with China Merchants Bank and Wuliangye rising by over 2%, and Kweichow Moutai, China Ping 'an and Zijin Mining rising by over 1%. China Merchants Securities said that at present, the expected returns of wealth management products and deposit interest rates are declining, the expected returns of various types of assets are declining, residents' deposits and net deposits are soaring, and residents' investment funds are greatly increased. In this state of asset shortage, if the profit-making effect of the follow-up equity market continues to improve and residents' deposits move to the equity market, theoretically, A shares will have greater upside. In terms of configuration, among the industries before and after the two important meetings in December, petroleum and petrochemical, food and beverage, household appliances, social services, medicine and biology, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery are more likely to rise. You can use the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) to lay out the core assets with one click.Aoyuan Group: It failed to pay off the due debt principal of about 43 billion yuan in time. Aoyuan Group Co., Ltd. issued an announcement to disclose the latest situation of the company's debt settlement and pending litigation. According to the announcement, as of November 30, 2024, the accumulated debt principal that Aoyuan Group failed to pay off in time was about 43.028 billion yuan, of which the open market debt principal that failed to pay off in time was 250,000 yuan; The company and its subsidiaries are involved in a number of major pending lawsuits, involving about 60.600 billion yuan, including about 52.554 billion yuan related to financing and 8.046 billion yuan related to non-financing. In addition, Aoyuan Group has 64 pieces of information about untrustworthy executors, involving a total amount of 2.228 billion yuan.

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